Riding profile
Savoie — 3ème circonscription
The question
Savoie — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the LR right?
Editorial read
Savoie — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Savoie, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 40% vote share, against 37% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Emilie BONNIVARD
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
LR and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.9
- P(close race)
- 2%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSavoie — 3ème circonscription | 39.9% | 37.0% | 20.0% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageSavoie | 19.6% +20.3 | 36.9% +0.1 | 24.7% −4.8 | 3.1% −1.2 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2% +27.7 | 36.0% +1.0 | 29.5% −9.5 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilie BONNIVARD Elected | LR and allies | 21,605 | 40.9 | — |
| Marie DAUCHY | RN and allies | 19,023 | 36.0 | — |
| Daniel IBANEZ | Left (NFP) | 11,530 | 21.8 | — |
| Pascale TROUVÉ | Far left | 719 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Savoie — 2ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Savoie — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Hautes-Alpes — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Isère — 5ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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