Riding profile

Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Haute-Savoie

The question

Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Savoie, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 39% vote share, against 30% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Xavier ROSEREN

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Toss-up

Probability
58%
Mean margin (pts)
9.5
P(close race)
84%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 39.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 29.6%
  • Left (NFP) 21.3%
  • LR and allies 7.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereHaute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription 39.0%29.6%21.3%7.0%
Provincial averageHaute-Savoie 35.9% +3.1 28.6% +1.0 23.4% −2.0 17.2% −10.2
National averageFrance 36.0% +3.1 20.6% +9.0 29.5% −8.1 12.2% −5.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+9.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Charles PRATS RN and allies 19,639 36.2
Xavier ROSEREN Elected Centre (Ensemble) 18,805 34.7
Alain ROUBIAN Left (NFP) 12,039 22.2
Cyrille DU PELOUX LR and allies 3,135 5.8
Alexandre DEMEURE Far left 614 1.1
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next