Riding profile

Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Haute-Savoie

The question

Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?

Editorial read

Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Savoie, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 35% vote share, against 31% for the centrist bloc, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Véronique RIOTTON

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Competitive

Probability
88%
Mean margin (pts)
4.6
P(close race)
23%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 35.1%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 30.5%
  • Left (NFP) 22.0%
  • LR and allies 9.5%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Far left 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereHaute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription 35.1%30.5%22.0%9.5%
Provincial averageHaute-Savoie 35.9% −0.8 28.6% +2.0 23.4% −1.4 17.2% −7.7
National averageFrance 36.0% −0.8 20.6% +9.9 29.5% −7.5 12.2% −2.7

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.6 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Véronique RIOTTON Elected Centre (Ensemble) 28,079 35.6 —
Guillaume ROIT-LEVÊQUE RN and allies 24,500 31.1 —
Anne-Valérie DUVAL Left (NFP) 17,980 22.8 —
Florian THABUIS LR and allies 6,527 8.3 —
Claudine MOLIN RN and allies 937 1.2 —
Jacques MATTEI Far left 675 0.9 —
Stéphane ESPIC Others 98 0.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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