Riding profile
Savoie — 1ère circonscription
The question
Savoie — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Savoie — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Savoie, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 40% vote share, against 30% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Marina FERRARI
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 72%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.2
- P(close race)
- 55%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSavoie — 1ère circonscription | 40.5% | 30.3% | 22.2% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averageSavoie | 36.9% +3.5 | 26.5% +3.7 | 24.7% −2.5 | 2.9% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +4.5 | 20.6% +9.7 | 29.5% −7.3 | 2.1% +0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Typhanie DEGOIS | RN and allies | 23,992 | 36.2 | — |
| Marina FERRARI Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 23,381 | 35.2 | — |
| Christel GRANATA | Left (NFP) | 15,212 | 22.9 | — |
| Frédéric EXERTIER | Greens | 2,292 | 3.5 | — |
| Guy-Alain PEYRARD | RN and allies | 830 | 1.3 | — |
| Adrien CASEJUANE | Far left | 451 | 0.7 | — |
| Jean-Pierre CHAUVEAU | Sovereignists | 191 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Savoie — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Isère — 5ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Ain — 3ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Ain — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
fr_leg_next