Riding profile
Isère — 5ème circonscription
The question
Isère — 5ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Isère — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Isère, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 35% vote share, against 34% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jérémie IORDANOFF
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Toss-up
- Probability
- 79%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.8
- P(close race)
- 42%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIsère — 5ème circonscription | 35.3% | 34.5% | 25.0% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageIsère | 32.2% +3.1 | 37.4% −2.9 | 16.2% +8.8 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +5.8 | 36.0% −1.5 | 20.6% +4.4 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jérémie IORDANOFF Elected | Left (NFP) | 27,874 | 36.3 | — |
| Frédérique SCHREIBER | RN and allies | 23,710 | 30.8 | — |
| Jean-Charles COLAS-ROY | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,895 | 20.7 | — |
| Dominique ESCARON | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,257 | 9.4 | — |
| Philippe GARRIGOS | Sovereignists | 789 | 1.0 | — |
| Christine TULIPE | Far left | 749 | 1.0 | — |
| Béatrice LACROUTS | RN and allies | 622 | 0.8 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Isère — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Savoie — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Isère — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Savoie — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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