Riding profile
Isère — 1ère circonscription
The question
Isère — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?
Editorial read
Isère — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Isère, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 39% vote share, against 29% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hugo PREVOST
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Safe
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.7
- P(close race)
- 2%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIsère — 1ère circonscription | 39.2% | 28.5% | 21.3% | 8.2% |
| Provincial averageIsère | 32.2% +7.0 | 16.2% +12.3 | 37.4% −16.1 | 10.9% −2.8 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +9.7 | 20.6% +7.9 | 36.0% −14.7 | 12.2% −4.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo PREVOST Elected | Left (NFP) | 25,207 | 40.2 | — |
| Olivier VÉRAN | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,089 | 33.6 | — |
| Alexandre LACROIX | RN and allies | 11,504 | 18.3 | — |
| Nathalie BÉRANGER | LR and allies | 4,379 | 7.0 | — |
| Rémi ADAM | Far left | 541 | 0.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Isère — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 5ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Isère — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Isère — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Savoie — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
fr_leg_next