Riding profile

Isère — 4ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Isère

The question

Isère — 4ème circonscription: can the united left hold this seat?

Editorial read

Isère — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Isère, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 42% vote share, against 36% for the RN and its allies, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Marie-Noëlle BATTISTEL

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Competitive

Probability
84%
Mean margin (pts)
5.3
P(close race)
33%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 41.5%
  • RN and allies 36.3%
  • LR and allies 12.3%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 7.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies Centre (Ensemble)
HereIsère — 4ème circonscription 41.5%36.3%12.3%7.0%
Provincial averageIsère 32.2% +9.3 37.4% −1.1 10.9% +1.4 16.2% −9.2
National averageFrance 29.5% +12.1 36.0% +0.3 12.2% +0.1 20.6% −13.6

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+5.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Marie-Noëlle BATTISTEL Elected Left (NFP) 27,548 42.5
Anne-Marie MALANDRINO RN and allies 20,812 32.1
Evelyne DE CARO Centre (Ensemble) 7,751 12.0
Alexandra VEYRET LR and allies 7,219 11.1
David BABUT RN and allies 838 1.3
Alain ZIEGLER Far left 619 1.0
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next