Riding profile
Isère — 2ème circonscription
The question
Isère — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?
Editorial read
Isère — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Isère, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 41% vote share, against 34% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Cyrielle CHATELAIN
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Safe
- Probability
- 96%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.8
- P(close race)
- 7%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIsère — 2ème circonscription | 41.2% | 34.4% | 14.2% | 7.0% |
| Provincial averageIsère | 32.2% +9.0 | 37.4% −3.0 | 16.2% −2.0 | 10.9% −3.9 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +11.7 | 36.0% −1.6 | 20.6% −6.4 | 12.2% −5.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrielle CHATELAIN Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,185 | 42.2 | — |
| Edouard ROBERT | RN and allies | 16,043 | 30.5 | — |
| Louve CARRIÈRE | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,114 | 19.2 | — |
| Raphaele DE CARVALHO | LR and allies | 3,064 | 5.8 | — |
| Chantal GOMEZ | Far left | 661 | 1.3 | — |
| Bruno LAFEUILLE | RN and allies | 540 | 1.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Isère — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Isère — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 5ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Isère — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Savoie — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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