Riding profile

Savoie — 4ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Savoie

The question

Savoie — 4ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Savoie — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Savoie, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 36% vote share, against 33% for the RN and its allies, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Jean-François COULOMME

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Competitive

Probability
86%
Mean margin (pts)
2.5
P(close race)
28%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 35.7%
  • RN and allies 33.2%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.8%
  • Others 4.2%
  • Sovereignists 1.9%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Far left 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Others
HereSavoie — 4ème circonscription 35.7%33.2%22.8%4.2%
Provincial averageSavoie 24.7% +10.9 36.9% −3.8 26.5% −3.7 3.1% +1.1
National averageFrance 29.5% +6.2 36.0% −2.8 20.6% +2.2 3.9% +0.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jean-François COULOMME Elected Left (NFP) 20,164 36.6 —
Brice BERNARD RN and allies 16,698 30.3 —
Anaïs GOMERO Centre (Ensemble) 15,357 27.9 —
Albin GUILLAUD Others 1,194 2.2 —
Vincent THOMAZO Sovereignists 1,037 1.9 —
Marie DUCRUET Far left 630 1.1 —
Vincent BERNOLLIN LR and allies 2 0.0 —

Around the region

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Last model run
Cycle
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