Riding profile

Haute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Haute-Savoie

The question

Haute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Haute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Savoie, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 41% vote share, against 32% for the LR right, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Christelle PETEX

Sits with LR and allies

Current forecast

LR and allies

Toss-up

Probability
55%
Mean margin (pts)
8.6
P(close race)
90%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 40.5%
  • LR and allies 31.9%
  • Left (NFP) 22.1%
  • Others 4.6%
  • Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies LR and allies Left (NFP) Others
HereHaute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription 40.5%31.9%22.1%4.6%
Provincial averageHaute-Savoie 35.9% +4.6 17.2% +14.7 23.4% −1.3 3.7% +0.9
National averageFrance 36.0% +4.5 12.2% +19.6 29.5% −7.4 3.9% +0.7

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
LR and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+8.6 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Antoine VALENTIN RN and allies 24,182 39.7 —
Christelle PETEX Elected LR and allies 19,726 32.4 —
Gérard VEZ Left (NFP) 14,630 24.0 —
Véronique BOUVIER Others 1,742 2.9 —
Jocelyne LEGOUHY Far left 656 1.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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