Riding profile

Alpes-Maritimes — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Alpes-Maritimes

The question

Alpes-Maritimes — 5ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Alpes-Maritimes — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Alpes-Maritimes, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 53% vote share, against 20% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Christelle D'INTORNI

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 33.5
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

RN and allies 53.4%
Left (NFP) 19.9%
Others 12.8%
Centre (Ensemble) 9.4%
Greens 2.6%
LR and allies 1.2%
Far left 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	RN and allies	Left (NFP)	Others	Centre (Ensemble)
HereAlpes-Maritimes — 5ème circonscription	53.4%	19.9%	12.8%	9.4%
Provincial averageAlpes-Maritimes	48.5% +4.9	18.5% +1.4	3.3% +9.5	13.8% −4.4
National averageFrance	36.0% +17.4	29.5% −9.6	3.9% +8.8	20.6% −11.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

RN and allies

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+33.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Christelle D'INTORNI Elected	RN and allies	29,804	50.4	—
Fabrice DECOUPIGNY	Left (NFP)	12,233	20.7	—
Gaël NOFRI	Centre (Ensemble)	8,473	14.3	—
Patrice BENOIT	Others	6,375	10.8	—
Axel HVIDSTEN	Greens	1,876	3.2	—
Agnès BENKEMOUN	Far left	436	0.7	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next