Riding profile

Alpes-Maritimes — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Alpes-Maritimes

The question

Alpes-Maritimes — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Alpes-Maritimes — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Alpes-Maritimes, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 51% vote share, against 30% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Bryan MASSON

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 51.4%
  • LR and allies 29.5%
  • Left (NFP) 13.8%
  • Greens 2.8%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies LR and allies Left (NFP) Greens
HereAlpes-Maritimes — 6ème circonscription 51.4%29.5%13.8%2.8%
Provincial averageAlpes-Maritimes 48.5% +2.8 15.7% +13.9 18.5% −4.7 2.6% +0.2
National averageFrance 36.0% +15.4 12.2% +17.3 29.5% −15.7 2.1% +0.7

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+21.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Bryan MASSON Elected RN and allies 27,705 50.9
Laurence TRASTOUR-ISNART LR and allies 16,213 29.8
Nicole MAZZELLA Left (NFP) 8,281 15.2
Pierre PIACENTINI Greens 1,927 3.5
Daniele BARTOLI Far left 359 0.7
Last model run
Cycle
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