Riding profile

Alpes-Maritimes — 9ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Alpes-Maritimes

The question

Alpes-Maritimes — 9ème circonscription: will LR and allies lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Alpes-Maritimes — 9ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Alpes-Maritimes, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 45% vote share, against 33% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Michèle TABAROT

Sits with LR and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
97%
Mean margin (pts)
11.4
P(close race)
6%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 44.8%
  • LR and allies 33.4%
  • Left (NFP) 16.9%
  • Greens 2.5%
  • Others 1.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies LR and allies Left (NFP) Greens
HereAlpes-Maritimes — 9ème circonscription 44.8%33.4%16.9%2.5%
Provincial averageAlpes-Maritimes 48.5% −3.7 15.7% +17.8 18.5% −1.7 2.6% −0.1
National averageFrance 36.0% +8.8 12.2% +21.2 29.5% −12.6 2.1% +0.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
LR and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.4 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Franck GALBERT RN and allies 22,921 42.3 —
Michèle TABAROT Elected LR and allies 18,334 33.8 —
José GARCIA ABIA Left (NFP) 9,987 18.4 —
Henriette PALMERS Greens 1,742 3.2 —
Sylvain LIENHARDT RN and allies 900 1.7 —
Liliane PÉCOUT Far left 294 0.5 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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