Riding profile

Alpes-Maritimes — 8ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Alpes-Maritimes

The question

Alpes-Maritimes — 8ème circonscription: will LR and allies lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Alpes-Maritimes — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Alpes-Maritimes, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 46% vote share, against 30% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Alexandra MARTIN

Sits with LR and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
98%
Mean margin (pts)
16.2
P(close race)
4%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 45.8%
  • LR and allies 29.6%
  • Left (NFP) 13.8%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 7.1%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Greens 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies LR and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble)
HereAlpes-Maritimes — 8ème circonscription 45.8%29.6%13.8%7.1%
Provincial averageAlpes-Maritimes 48.5% −2.7 15.7% +14.0 18.5% −4.7 13.8% −6.6
National averageFrance 36.0% +9.8 12.2% +17.4 29.5% −15.7 20.6% −13.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
LR and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+16.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Dorette LANDERER RN and allies 23,010 42.7 —
Alexandra MARTIN Elected LR and allies 15,284 28.4 —
Lucia SOUDANT Left (NFP) 7,837 14.6 —
Mike CASTRO DEMARIA Centre (Ensemble) 6,508 12.1 —
Anne ITTY Greens 950 1.8 —
Marie-José PEREIRA Far left 181 0.3 —
Christophe NEUTZLER Others 66 0.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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