Riding profile

Bouches-du-Rhône — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Bouches-du-Rhône

The question

Bouches-du-Rhône — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Bouches-du-Rhône — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Bouches-du-Rhône, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 43% vote share, against 27% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Olivier FAYSSAT

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.6
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 43.0%
  • Left (NFP) 27.5%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 20.2%
  • LR and allies 6.4%
  • Others 2.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereBouches-du-Rhône — 6ème circonscription 43.0%27.5%20.2%6.4%
Provincial averageBouches-du-Rhône 44.0% −0.9 32.3% −4.8 14.1% +6.1 5.9% +0.5
National averageFrance 36.0% +7.1 29.5% −2.0 20.6% −0.4 12.2% −5.8

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+15.6 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Olivier FAYSSAT Elected RN and allies 19,151 38.3 —
Christine JUSTE Left (NFP) 14,119 28.2 —
Lionel ROYER-PERREAUT Centre (Ensemble) 12,575 25.1 —
Serena ZOUAGHI LR and allies 2,231 4.5 —
Jeanne ASTOLFI RN and allies 862 1.7 —
Stéphanie BRUN LR and allies 348 0.7 —
Caroline COURONNE Greens 276 0.6 —
Corinne MOREL Far left 250 0.5 —
Sébastien PERETTI Others 217 0.4 —
Alain SLAMA RN and allies 4 0.0 —
Tess JANNONE Centre (Ensemble) 3 0.0 —
Sylvie GIOVANNINI Others 1 0.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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