Riding profile

Bouches-du-Rhône — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Bouches-du-Rhône

The question

Bouches-du-Rhône — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Bouches-du-Rhône — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Bouches-du-Rhône, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 60% vote share, against 31% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Sébastien DELOGU

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
29.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 60.5%
  • RN and allies 31.4%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 4.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Far left 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Others
HereBouches-du-Rhône — 7ème circonscription 60.5%31.4%4.0%2.0%
Provincial averageBouches-du-Rhône 32.3% +28.2 44.0% −12.6 14.1% −10.0 2.1% −0.1
National averageFrance 29.5% +31.0 36.0% −4.5 20.6% −16.5 3.9% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+29.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Sébastien DELOGU Elected Left (NFP) 21,124 59.7
Arezki SELLOUM RN and allies 9,632 27.2
Hayat ATIA Centre (Ensemble) 3,186 9.0
Hakim BENAMRANE Left (NFP) 660 1.9
Ines ALBACETE RN and allies 481 1.4
Danièle PÉCOUT Far left 319 0.9
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next