Riding profile

Bouches-du-Rhône — 13ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Bouches-du-Rhône

The question

Bouches-du-Rhône — 13ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Bouches-du-Rhône — 13ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Bouches-du-Rhône, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 52% vote share, against 35% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Emmanuel FOUQUART

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 16.7
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

RN and allies 51.8%
Left (NFP) 35.1%
Centre (Ensemble) 7.3%
Others 2.0%
Sovereignists 1.6%
LR and allies 1.2%
Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	RN and allies	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)	Others
HereBouches-du-Rhône — 13ème circonscription	51.8%	35.1%	7.3%	2.0%
Provincial averageBouches-du-Rhône	44.0% +7.8	32.3% +2.8	14.1% −6.7	2.1% −0.1
National averageFrance	36.0% +15.8	29.5% +5.6	20.6% −13.2	3.9% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

RN and allies

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+16.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Emmanuel FOUQUART Elected	RN and allies	27,908	47.5	—
Pierre DHARRÉVILLE	Left (NFP)	21,147	36.0	—
Lila LOKMANE	Centre (Ensemble)	7,239	12.3	—
Hervé DELESPAUL	Sovereignists	934	1.6	—
Olympe SCHEREDRE	RN and allies	876	1.5	—
Cyril METRAL	Far left	613	1.0	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next