Riding profile
Drôme — 1ère circonscription
The question
Drôme — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Drôme — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Drôme, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 35% vote share, against 31% for the united left, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Paul CHRISTOPHLE
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 79%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.5
- P(close race)
- 41%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDrôme — 1ère circonscription | 35.0% | 31.5% | 19.0% | 11.6% |
| Provincial averageDrôme | 40.0% −5.0 | 29.0% +2.5 | 17.0% +2.0 | 10.7% +0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% −1.0 | 29.5% +2.0 | 12.2% +6.8 | 20.6% −9.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul CHRISTOPHLE Elected | Left (NFP) | 16,835 | 32.4 | — |
| Jean-Paul VALLON | RN and allies | 16,145 | 31.1 | — |
| Véronique PUGEAT | LR and allies | 9,292 | 17.9 | — |
| Mireille CLAPOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,635 | 16.6 | — |
| Thierry AOUSTET | RN and allies | 551 | 1.1 | — |
| Adèle KOPFF | Far left | 490 | 0.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Drôme — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ardèche — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Drôme — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 7ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 8ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ardèche — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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