Riding profile

Isère — 8ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Isère

The question

Isère — 8ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Isère — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Isère, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 43% vote share, against 24% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Hanane MANSOURI

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
19.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 42.7%
  • Left (NFP) 23.6%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 15.4%
  • LR and allies 15.0%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Far left 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereIsère — 8ème circonscription 42.7%23.6%15.4%15.0%
Provincial averageIsère 37.4% +5.3 32.2% −8.6 16.2% −0.7 10.9% +4.1
National averageFrance 36.0% +6.7 29.5% −5.9 20.6% −5.1 12.2% +2.8

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+19.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Hanane MANSOURI Elected RN and allies 22,847 39.9
Cécile MICHEL Left (NFP) 14,021 24.5
Caroline ABADIE Centre (Ensemble) 11,727 20.5
Jean-Claude LASSALLE LR and allies 7,923 13.8
Jacques LACAILLE Far left 623 1.1
Aurore GALVES Others 91 0.2
Last model run
Cycle
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