Riding profile
Isère — 8ème circonscription
The question
Isère — 8ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Isère — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Isère, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 43% vote share, against 24% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hanane MANSOURI
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIsère — 8ème circonscription | 42.7% | 23.6% | 15.4% | 15.0% |
| Provincial averageIsère | 37.4% +5.3 | 32.2% −8.6 | 16.2% −0.7 | 10.9% +4.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +6.7 | 29.5% −5.9 | 20.6% −5.1 | 12.2% +2.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanane MANSOURI Elected | RN and allies | 22,847 | 39.9 | — |
| Cécile MICHEL | Left (NFP) | 14,021 | 24.5 | — |
| Caroline ABADIE | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,727 | 20.5 | — |
| Jean-Claude LASSALLE | LR and allies | 7,923 | 13.8 | — |
| Jacques LACAILLE | Far left | 623 | 1.1 | — |
| Aurore GALVES | Others | 91 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Rhône — 11ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 14ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 7ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 12ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Rhône — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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