Riding profile
Isère — 7ème circonscription
The question
Isère — 7ème circonscription: will LR and allies lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Isère — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Isère, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 45% vote share, against 29% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Yannick NEUDER
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 95%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.3
- P(close race)
- 11%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIsère — 7ème circonscription | 44.9% | 28.6% | 19.0% | 4.6% |
| Provincial averageIsère | 37.4% +7.5 | 10.9% +17.7 | 32.2% −13.3 | 16.2% −11.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +8.9 | 12.2% +16.4 | 29.5% −10.5 | 20.6% −15.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benoît AUGUSTE | RN and allies | 28,531 | 42.1 | — |
| Yannick NEUDER Elected | LR and allies | 18,678 | 27.6 | — |
| Dominique DICHARD | Left (NFP) | 13,427 | 19.8 | — |
| Helena CHESSER | Centre (Ensemble) | 6,507 | 9.6 | — |
| Bruno PERRODIN | Far left | 630 | 0.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Isère — 8ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Drôme — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 10ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 13ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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