Riding profile

Isère — 10ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Isère

The question

Isère — 10ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Isère — 10ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Isère, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 46% vote share, against 25% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Thierry PEREZ

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 45.6%
  • Left (NFP) 24.6%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 17.1%
  • LR and allies 9.2%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereIsère — 10ème circonscription 45.6%24.6%17.1%9.2%
Provincial averageIsère 37.4% +8.2 32.2% −7.7 16.2% +1.0 10.9% −1.7
National averageFrance 36.0% +9.6 29.5% −4.9 20.6% −3.4 12.2% −3.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+21.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Thierry PEREZ Elected RN and allies 28,348 42.8
Joëlle RICHOL Left (NFP) 16,833 25.4
Marjolaine MEYNIER-MILLEFERT Centre (Ensemble) 14,688 22.2
Aurélien LEPRETRE LR and allies 5,318 8.0
Clément BORDES Far left 999 1.5
Last model run
Cycle
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