Riding profile
Isère — 6ème circonscription
The question
Isère — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Isère — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Isère, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 50% vote share, against 20% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Alexis JOLLY
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 30.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereIsère — 6ème circonscription | 50.3% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 12.4% |
| Provincial averageIsère | 37.4% +12.9 | 32.2% −12.2 | 10.9% +3.0 | 16.2% −3.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +14.3 | 29.5% −9.5 | 12.2% +1.7 | 20.6% −8.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis JOLLY Elected | RN and allies | 29,167 | 47.5 | — |
| Yaqine DI SPIGNO | Left (NFP) | 12,791 | 20.9 | — |
| Cendra MOTIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,712 | 17.5 | — |
| Annie POURTIER | LR and allies | 7,816 | 12.7 | — |
| Denise GOMEZ | Far left | 664 | 1.1 | — |
| Pierre FABRE | Far left | 185 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Isère — 10ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 13ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ain — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Isère — 7ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ain — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 7ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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