Riding profile

Drôme — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Drôme

The question

Drôme — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Drôme — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Drôme, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 22% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Lisette POLLET

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
24.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 46.7%
  • Left (NFP) 21.9%
  • LR and allies 14.4%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 13.9%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) LR and allies Centre (Ensemble)
HereDrôme — 2ème circonscription 46.7%21.9%14.4%13.9%
Provincial averageDrôme 40.0% +6.7 29.0% −7.0 17.0% −2.7 10.7% +3.2
National averageFrance 36.0% +10.8 29.5% −7.5 12.2% +2.2 20.6% −6.7

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+24.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Lisette POLLET Elected RN and allies 27,507 42.9 —
Karim CHKERI Left (NFP) 14,642 22.8 —
Nicolas MICHEL Centre (Ensemble) 12,158 18.9 —
Damien LAGIER LR and allies 6,684 10.4 —
Karim OUMEDDOUR LR and allies 1,795 2.8 —
Jean-Marc GAILLARD RN and allies 710 1.1 —
Guy RAT Far left 704 1.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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