Riding profile

Drôme — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Drôme

The question

Drôme — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Drôme — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Drôme, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 37% vote share, against 36% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Marie POCHON

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
66%
Mean margin (pts)
0.9
P(close race)
68%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 37.0%
  • RN and allies 36.2%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 14.1%
  • LR and allies 9.7%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereDrôme — 3ème circonscription 37.0%36.2%14.1%9.7%
Provincial averageDrôme 29.0% +8.1 40.0% −3.9 10.7% +3.3 17.0% −7.3
National averageFrance 29.5% +7.5 36.0% +0.2 20.6% −6.5 12.2% −2.5

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+0.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Marie POCHON Elected Left (NFP) 30,618 38.0
Adhémar AUTRAND RN and allies 26,020 32.3
Lander MARCHIONNI Centre (Ensemble) 15,396 19.1
Patricia PICARD LR and allies 6,855 8.5
Charly CHAMPMARTIN Far left 908 1.1
Frédérique SIMONCINI RN and allies 853 1.1
Last model run
Cycle
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