Riding profile
Eure-et-Loir — 3ème circonscription
The question
Eure-et-Loir — 3ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Eure-et-Loir — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Eure-et-Loir, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 31% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Harold HUWART
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereEure-et-Loir — 3ème circonscription | 46.5% | 31.0% | 13.8% | 6.7% |
| Provincial averageEure-et-Loir | 43.5% +3.0 | 23.8% +7.2 | 12.6% +1.2 | 2.7% +4.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +10.5 | 20.6% +10.4 | 12.2% +1.6 | 1.1% +5.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe BAY | RN and allies | 19,178 | 42.4 | — |
| Harold HUWART Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,439 | 36.4 | — |
| Rémi MARTIAL | LR and allies | 5,748 | 12.7 | — |
| Vincent CHEVROLLIER | Far left | 3,107 | 6.9 | — |
| Eric LAQUA | RN and allies | 751 | 1.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Eure-et-Loir — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Eure-et-Loir — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Eure-et-Loir — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Loir-et-Cher — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Eure — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Orne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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