Riding profile
Gironde — 5ème circonscription
The question
Gironde — 5ème circonscription: will Left (NFP) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Gironde — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Gironde, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 45% vote share, against 31% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Pascale GOT
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 14.2
- P(close race)
- 1%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGironde — 5ème circonscription | 45.1% | 30.9% | 17.2% | 3.9% |
| Provincial averageGironde | 36.0% +9.1 | 32.7% −1.9 | 24.0% −6.9 | 3.7% +0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +9.1 | 29.5% +1.4 | 20.6% −3.4 | 12.2% −8.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grégoire DE FOURNAS | RN and allies | 35,457 | 42.3 | — |
| Pascale GOT Elected | Left (NFP) | 26,631 | 31.8 | — |
| Stéphane SENCE | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,576 | 18.6 | — |
| Benoït SIMIAN | Centre (Ensemble) | 3,041 | 3.6 | — |
| Laurent TOUSSAINT | LR and allies | 2,218 | 2.6 | — |
| Thierry FAGEGALTIER | Far left | 858 | 1.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Gironde — 6ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Gironde — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Gironde — 7ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 3ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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