Riding profile

Gironde — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Gironde

The question

Gironde — 6ème circonscription: can the united left hold this seat?

Editorial read

Gironde — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Gironde, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 35% vote share, against 31% for the RN and its allies, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Marie RECALDE

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Competitive

Probability
83%
Mean margin (pts)
3.2
P(close race)
28%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 34.5%
  • RN and allies 31.3%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 28.9%
  • Others 2.0%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Greens 1.2%
  • Far left 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Others
HereGironde — 6ème circonscription 34.5%31.3%28.9%2.0%
Provincial averageGironde 32.7% +1.8 36.0% −4.7 24.0% +4.9 2.0%
National averageFrance 29.5% +5.0 36.0% −4.7 20.6% +8.3 3.9% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Marie RECALDE Elected Left (NFP) 27,564 35.2
Eric POULLIAT Centre (Ensemble) 25,636 32.8
Jimmy BOURLIEUX RN and allies 21,174 27.1
Joanthan FLORIT Greens 1,387 1.8
Nicole DESTOUESSE RN and allies 929 1.2
Franck BONHOMME Centre (Ensemble) 847 1.1
Guillaume PERCHET Far left 673 0.9
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next