Riding profile

Ille-et-Vilaine — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Ille-et-Vilaine

The question

Ille-et-Vilaine — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Ille-et-Vilaine — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Ille-et-Vilaine, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 36% vote share, against 31% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Claudia ROUAUX

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability: 96%
Mean margin (pts): 4.8
P(close race): 8%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Left (NFP) 35.8%
RN and allies 31.0%
Centre (Ensemble) 24.6%
LR and allies 3.7%
Others 3.7%
Far left 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	LR and allies
HereIlle-et-Vilaine — 3ème circonscription	35.8%	31.0%	24.6%	3.7%
Provincial averageIlle-et-Vilaine	33.9% +2.0	27.7% +3.2	27.8% −3.2	10.1% −6.4
National averageFrance	29.5% +6.3	36.0% −5.0	20.6% +4.0	12.2% −8.5

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+4.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Claudia ROUAUX Elected	Left (NFP)	24,649	36.8	—
Charlotte FAILLÉ	Centre (Ensemble)	19,919	29.7	—
Virginie D'ORSANNE	RN and allies	18,850	28.1	—
Victor ROULET	LR and allies	1,688	2.5	—
Mathieu GUIHARD	Others	1,132	1.7	—
Jean-Louis AMISSE	Far left	802	1.2	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next