Riding profile

Ille-et-Vilaine — 8ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Ille-et-Vilaine

The question

Ille-et-Vilaine — 8ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Ille-et-Vilaine — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Ille-et-Vilaine, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 52% vote share, against 21% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Mickaël BOULOUX

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 31.2
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Left (NFP) 51.8%
Centre (Ensemble) 20.6%
RN and allies 17.4%
LR and allies 6.2%
Others 3.1%
Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)	RN and allies	LR and allies
HereIlle-et-Vilaine — 8ème circonscription	51.8%	20.6%	17.4%	6.2%
Provincial averageIlle-et-Vilaine	33.9% +18.0	27.8% −7.2	27.7% −10.4	10.1% −4.0
National averageFrance	29.5% +22.3	20.6% +0.1	36.0% −18.6	12.2% −6.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+31.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Mickaël BOULOUX Elected	Left (NFP)	36,029	52.8	—
Hermine MAUZE	Centre (Ensemble)	17,517	25.7	—
Kellie LUCCO	RN and allies	9,820	14.4	—
Mahé GARGAM	LR and allies	3,390	5.0	—
Maël EGRON	Others	768	1.1	—
Fabrice LUCAS	Far left	654	1.0	—
Camille CHAMPALAUNE	Greens	5	0.0	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next