Riding profile

Ille-et-Vilaine — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Ille-et-Vilaine

The question

Ille-et-Vilaine — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?

Editorial read

Ille-et-Vilaine — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Ille-et-Vilaine, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 37% vote share, against 34% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Thierry BENOIT

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Safe

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
3.5
P(close race)
3%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 37.3%
  • RN and allies 33.8%
  • Left (NFP) 24.4%
  • Others 2.0%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Far left 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies Left (NFP) Others
HereIlle-et-Vilaine — 6ème circonscription 37.3%33.8%24.4%2.0%
Provincial averageIlle-et-Vilaine 27.8% +9.5 27.7% +6.1 33.9% −9.4 2.5% −0.5
National averageFrance 20.6% +16.7 36.0% −2.2 29.5% −5.0 3.9% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Thierry BENOIT Elected Centre (Ensemble) 26,968 41.8 —
Tangi MARION RN and allies 19,960 30.9 —
Elsa LAFAYE Left (NFP) 16,209 25.1 —
Ludovic HUBERT Far left 839 1.3 —
Pascal THEVENET Centre (Ensemble) 402 0.6 —
Gilliatt DE STAËRCK Left (NFP) 131 0.2 —

Around the region

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Last model run
Cycle
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