Riding profile

Ille-et-Vilaine — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Ille-et-Vilaine

The question

Ille-et-Vilaine — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the LR right?

Editorial read

Ille-et-Vilaine — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Ille-et-Vilaine, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 44% vote share, against 31% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Jean-Luc BOURGEAUX

Sits with LR and allies

Current forecast

LR and allies

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 13.2
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

LR and allies 44.3%
RN and allies 31.1%
Left (NFP) 21.4%
Others 2.0%
Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	LR and allies	RN and allies	Left (NFP)	Others
HereIlle-et-Vilaine — 7ème circonscription	44.3%	31.1%	21.4%	2.0%
Provincial averageIlle-et-Vilaine	10.1% +34.2	27.7% +3.3	33.9% −12.5	2.5% −0.5
National averageFrance	12.2% +32.1	36.0% −4.9	29.5% −8.1	3.9% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

LR and allies

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+13.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Jean-Luc BOURGEAUX Elected	LR and allies	32,549	43.3	—
Dylan LEMOINE	RN and allies	21,184	28.2	—
Nicolas GUIVARC'H	Left (NFP)	16,701	22.2	—
Christophe FICHET	Centre (Ensemble)	3,665	4.9	—
Edouard DESCOTTES	Far left	1,015	1.4	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next