Riding profile

Ille-et-Vilaine — 4ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Ille-et-Vilaine

The question

Ille-et-Vilaine — 4ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Ille-et-Vilaine — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Ille-et-Vilaine, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 35% vote share, against 31% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Mathilde HIGNET

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability: 78%
Mean margin (pts): 4.0
P(close race): 44%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

RN and allies 35.1%
Left (NFP) 31.2%
Centre (Ensemble) 19.0%
LR and allies 10.0%
Others 2.0%
Sovereignists 1.5%
Far left 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	RN and allies	Left (NFP)	Centre (Ensemble)	LR and allies
HereIlle-et-Vilaine — 4ème circonscription	35.1%	31.2%	19.0%	10.0%
Provincial averageIlle-et-Vilaine	27.7% +7.4	33.9% −2.7	27.8% −8.8	10.1% −0.1
National averageFrance	36.0% −0.8	29.5% +1.7	20.6% −1.6	12.2% −2.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+4.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Jacques FRANÇOIS	RN and allies	22,275	32.3	—
Mathilde HIGNET Elected	Left (NFP)	22,139	32.1	—
Anne PATAULT	Centre (Ensemble)	16,595	24.1	—
Jeremy GILBERT	LR and allies	6,103	8.8	—
Sophie HUBERT	Sovereignists	985	1.4	—
Sandra CHIRAZI	Far left	868	1.3	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next