Riding profile

Loire-Atlantique — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Loire-Atlantique

The question

Loire-Atlantique — 6ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Loire-Atlantique — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Loire-Atlantique, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 34% vote share, against 32% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Jean-Claude RAUX

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability
67%
Mean margin (pts)
2.3
P(close race)
52%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 34.0%
  • Left (NFP) 31.7%
  • LR and allies 28.8%
  • Sovereignists 2.1%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 1.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) LR and allies Sovereignists
HereLoire-Atlantique — 6ème circonscription 34.0%31.7%28.8%2.1%
Provincial averageLoire-Atlantique 27.5% +6.6 37.4% −5.7 11.9% +16.9 1.8% +0.3
National averageFrance 36.0% −2.0 29.5% +2.2 12.2% +16.6 1.6% +0.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Jean-Claude RAUX Elected Left (NFP) 26,919 34.2 —
Julio PICHON RN and allies 25,886 32.9 —
Alain HUNAULT LR and allies 22,993 29.2 —
Fannie LEJAU Sovereignists 1,671 2.1 —
Marie-Paule CATHELINE Far left 1,325 1.7 —

Around the region

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Last model run
Cycle
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