Riding profile

Landes — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Landes

The question

Landes — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Landes — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Landes, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 40% vote share, against 36% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Boris VALLAUD

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability
67%
Mean margin (pts)
3.4
P(close race)
65%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 39.6%
  • Left (NFP) 36.2%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 12.6%
  • LR and allies 8.4%
  • Others 2.6%
  • Far left 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereLandes — 3ème circonscription 39.6%36.2%12.6%8.4%
Provincial averageLandes 39.0% +0.6 30.0% +6.2 20.6% −8.0 6.9% +1.5
National averageFrance 36.0% +3.6 29.5% +6.7 20.6% −8.0 12.2% −3.8

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.4 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Boris VALLAUD Elected Left (NFP) 26,235 37.1 —
Sylvie FRANCESCHINI RN and allies 25,165 35.6 —
Tom GILLET DUFFRECHOU Centre (Ensemble) 11,310 16.0 —
Brice SAINT-CRICQ LR and allies 5,078 7.2 —
Christelle LASSORT Centre (Ensemble) 1,141 1.6 —
Christian DELFOSSE RN and allies 813 1.1 —
Carole VOUTAZ Far left 513 0.7 —
Matèu RICHARD Others 451 0.6 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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