Riding profile

Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Pyrénées-Atlantiques

The question

Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Pyrénées-Atlantiques, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 35% vote share, against 33% for the LR right, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Iñaki ECHANIZ

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
74%
Mean margin (pts)
2.3
P(close race)
51%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 35.3%
  • LR and allies 33.0%
  • RN and allies 27.2%
  • Others 3.8%
  • Far left 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) LR and allies RN and allies Others
HerePyrénées-Atlantiques — 4ème circonscription 35.3%33.0%27.2%3.8%
Provincial averagePyrénées-Atlantiques 34.2% +1.1 13.8% +19.2 30.8% −3.7 4.2% −0.4
National averageFrance 29.5% +5.8 12.2% +20.8 36.0% −8.8 3.9% −0.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Iñaki ECHANIZ Elected Left (NFP) 21,968 38.0 —
Sylviane LOPEZ RN and allies 14,806 25.6 —
Jean LASSALLE LR and allies 10,434 18.1 —
Beñat CACHENAUT LR and allies 8,983 15.5 —
Gracianne MIRANDE BEC Others 1,128 1.9 —
Carlos RIBEIRO Far left 476 0.8 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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