Riding profile

Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Pyrénées-Atlantiques

The question

Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 6ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Pyrénées-Atlantiques, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 29% vote share, against 28% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Peio DUFAU

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
74%
Mean margin (pts)
0.3
P(close race)
46%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 28.5%
  • RN and allies 28.2%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.2%
  • LR and allies 12.8%
  • Others 7.2%
  • Far left 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HerePyrénées-Atlantiques — 6ème circonscription 28.5%28.2%22.2%12.8%
Provincial averagePyrénées-Atlantiques 34.2% −5.7 30.8% −2.7 22.6% −0.4 13.8% −1.0
National averageFrance 29.5% −1.0 36.0% −7.8 20.6% +1.6 12.2% +0.6

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+0.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Peio DUFAU Elected Left (NFP) 21,650 29.4
Christian DEVÈZE Centre (Ensemble) 19,806 26.9
Victor LASTÉCOUÈRES RN and allies 18,610 25.3
Emmanuelle BRISSON LR and allies 8,546 11.6
Jean TELLECHEA Others 3,712 5.0
Jacqueline UHART Far left 844 1.1
Eva PERNET Centre (Ensemble) 248 0.3
Corinne BERTHELOT Others 161 0.2
Michel LAMARQUE Others 1 0.0
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next