Riding profile

Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Pyrénées-Atlantiques

The question

Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Pyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Pyrénées-Atlantiques, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 32% vote share, against 31% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Josy POUEYTO

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
58%
Mean margin (pts)
1.3
P(close race)
84%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 32.3%
  • RN and allies 31.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 21.9%
  • LR and allies 10.2%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Greens 1.9%
  • Far left 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HerePyrénées-Atlantiques — 1ère circonscription 32.3%31.0%21.9%10.2%
Provincial averagePyrénées-Atlantiques 34.2% −1.9 30.8% +0.2 22.6% −0.7 13.8% −3.7
National averageFrance 29.5% +2.8 36.0% −5.0 20.6% +1.3 12.2% −2.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
François VERRIERE RN and allies 13,490 28.0 —
Josy POUEYTO Elected Centre (Ensemble) 12,939 26.8 —
Jean-Yves LALANNE Left (NFP) 9,625 19.9 —
Jean SANROMAN Left (NFP) 6,305 13.1 —
Sandrine LAFARGUE LR and allies 4,304 8.9 —
Jérémy ZEN Greens 1,215 2.5 —
Agnès HEGOBURU Far left 366 0.8 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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