Riding profile

Loire-Atlantique — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Loire-Atlantique

The question

Loire-Atlantique — 7ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Loire-Atlantique — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Loire-Atlantique, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 33% vote share, against 23% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Sandrine JOSSO

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability: 70%
Mean margin (pts): 9.3
P(close race): 59%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

RN and allies 32.7%
Centre (Ensemble) 23.4%
Left (NFP) 23.3%
LR and allies 15.2%
Others 2.0%
Sovereignists 2.0%
Far left 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	Left (NFP)	LR and allies
HereLoire-Atlantique — 7ème circonscription	32.7%	23.4%	23.3%	15.2%
Provincial averageLoire-Atlantique	27.5% +5.3	23.3% +0.1	37.4% −14.2	11.9% +3.3
National averageFrance	36.0% −3.2	20.6% +2.8	29.5% −6.2	12.2% +3.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Centre (Ensemble)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+9.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Sandrine JOSSO Elected	Centre (Ensemble)	23,489	28.5	—
Michel HUNAULT	RN and allies	23,210	28.1	—
Véronique MAHÉ	Left (NFP)	19,881	24.1	—
Bertrand PLOUVIER	LR and allies	11,610	14.1	—
Gaël BOURDEAU	Sovereignists	1,595	1.9	—
Sophie CORBIN	RN and allies	1,426	1.7	—
Marie-France BELIN	Far left	1,228	1.5	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next