Riding profile
Maine-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription
The question
Maine-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Maine-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Maine-et-Loire, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 41% vote share, against 25% for the LR right, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Anne-Laure BLIN
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 77%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.7
- P(close race)
- 46%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMaine-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription | 40.6% | 25.0% | 19.1% | 11.8% |
| Provincial averageMaine-et-Loire | 32.8% +7.8 | 11.1% +13.9 | 24.5% −5.5 | 27.3% −15.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +4.7 | 12.2% +12.8 | 29.5% −10.4 | 20.6% −8.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edouard BOURGEAULT | RN and allies | 18,344 | 37.8 | — |
| Anne-Laure BLIN Elected | LR and allies | 11,572 | 23.9 | — |
| Patrick ALEXANDRE | Left (NFP) | 9,656 | 19.9 | — |
| Simon HOLLEY | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,168 | 16.9 | — |
| Patricia PEILLON | Far left | 741 | 1.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Sarthe — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Maine-et-Loire — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Maine-et-Loire — 4ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Maine-et-Loire — 2ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Sarthe — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Indre-et-Loire — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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