Riding profile

Maine-et-Loire — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Maine-et-Loire

The question

Maine-et-Loire — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?

Editorial read

Maine-et-Loire — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Maine-et-Loire, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 32% vote share, against 30% for the centrist bloc, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Nicole DUBRE CHIRAT

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Competitive

Probability: 88%
Mean margin (pts): 1.5
P(close race): 23%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

RN and allies 31.7%
Centre (Ensemble) 30.2%
Left (NFP) 23.9%
LR and allies 8.8%
Others 2.0%
Sovereignists 1.9%
Far left 1.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	Left (NFP)	LR and allies
HereMaine-et-Loire — 6ème circonscription	31.7%	30.2%	23.9%	8.8%
Provincial averageMaine-et-Loire	32.8% −1.2	27.3% +2.9	24.5% −0.6	11.1% −2.2
National averageFrance	36.0% −4.3	20.6% +9.6	29.5% −5.6	12.2% −3.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Centre (Ensemble)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+1.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Nicole DUBRE CHIRAT Elected	Centre (Ensemble)	23,776	35.3	—
Tim PAVAGEAU	RN and allies	19,422	28.8	—
Sylvie GABIN	Left (NFP)	16,707	24.8	—
Anaëlle CHAUSSIVERT	LR and allies	5,142	7.6	—
Eric MERCIER	Sovereignists	1,243	1.8	—
Yann LE DIAGON	Far left	1,099	1.6	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next