Riding profile

Maine-et-Loire — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Maine-et-Loire

The question

Maine-et-Loire — 7ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Maine-et-Loire — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Maine-et-Loire, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Philippe BOLO

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Toss-up

Probability: 52%
Mean margin (pts): 2.7
P(close race): 71%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

RN and allies 31.5%
Centre (Ensemble) 28.7%
Left (NFP) 28.2%
LR and allies 7.0%
Others 2.0%
Sovereignists 1.4%
Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	Left (NFP)	LR and allies
HereMaine-et-Loire — 7ème circonscription	31.5%	28.7%	28.2%	7.0%
Provincial averageMaine-et-Loire	32.8% −1.4	27.3% +1.5	24.5% +3.6	11.1% −4.1
National averageFrance	36.0% −4.5	20.6% +8.2	29.5% −1.3	12.2% −5.3

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Centre (Ensemble)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+2.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Philippe BOLO Elected	Centre (Ensemble)	19,541	33.9	—
Guillaume JOUANNEAU	Left (NFP)	16,778	29.1	—
Clémence LASCAUD	RN and allies	15,802	27.4	—
Sandrine BOULLAIS CHALLIER	LR and allies	3,320	5.8	—
Céline L'HUILLIER	Far left	810	1.4	—
Régis CRESPIN	Sovereignists	750	1.3	—
Valérie GORIOUX	RN and allies	715	1.2	—
Raphaël DE LA SALMONIERE	LR and allies	0	0.0	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next