Riding profile
Meuse — 2ème circonscription
The question
Meuse — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Meuse — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Meuse, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 51% vote share, against 32% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Florence GOULET
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMeuse — 2ème circonscription | 51.1% | 31.6% | 13.0% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageMeuse | 49.7% +1.4 | 33.1% −1.5 | 12.9% +0.1 | 1.9% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +15.2 | 12.2% +19.4 | 29.5% −16.5 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence GOULET Elected | RN and allies | 19,011 | 50.6 | — |
| Jerome DUMONT | LR and allies | 11,976 | 31.9 | — |
| Johan LAFLOTTE | Left (NFP) | 5,391 | 14.4 | — |
| Valentine LAFUE | Greens | 742 | 2.0 | — |
| Pierre NORDEMANN | Far left | 431 | 1.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Meuse — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ardennes — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Moselle — 8ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Moselle — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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