Riding profile
Nord — 5ème circonscription
The question
Nord — 5ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Nord — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Nord, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 41% vote share, against 34% for the LR right, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sébastien HUYGHE
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
LR and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 67%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.1
- P(close race)
- 66%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNord — 5ème circonscription | 40.9% | 33.8% | 22.3% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageNord | 42.0% −1.1 | 12.7% +21.0 | 28.2% −5.9 | 3.6% −1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +4.9 | 12.2% +21.5 | 29.5% −7.2 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor CATTEAU | RN and allies | 27,411 | 40.1 | — |
| Sébastien HUYGHE Elected | LR and allies | 23,510 | 34.4 | — |
| Ophélie DELNESTE | Left (NFP) | 16,591 | 24.3 | — |
| Raymond COVAIN | Far left | 858 | 1.3 | — |
| Chloé OLIVEREAU | Far left | 24 | 0.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Nord — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 11ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Pas-de-Calais — 11ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Pas-de-Calais — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Pas-de-Calais — 12ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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