Riding profile
Nord — 11ème circonscription
The question
Nord — 11ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?
Editorial read
Nord — 11ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Nord, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 38% vote share, against 34% for the RN and its allies, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Roger VICOT
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Competitive
- Probability
- 91%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.2
- P(close race)
- 18%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNord — 11ème circonscription | 37.5% | 34.3% | 22.9% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageNord | 28.2% +9.4 | 42.0% −7.7 | 19.0% +3.8 | 1.5% +0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +8.1 | 36.0% −1.7 | 20.6% +2.3 | 1.1% +0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger VICOT Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,809 | 38.5 | — |
| Maxime MOULIN | RN and allies | 18,650 | 31.5 | — |
| Ingrid BRULANT-FORTIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,559 | 27.9 | — |
| Carole BAILLEUL | Far left | 778 | 1.3 | — |
| Jonathan WILSON | Far left | 450 | 0.8 | — |
| Robin COUPIGNY | Far left | 17 | 0.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Nord — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Nord — 5ème circonscriptionLR and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Nord — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Nord — 9ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Nord — 10ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Pas-de-Calais — 12ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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