Riding profile

Nord — 13ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Nord

The question

Nord — 13ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Nord — 13ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Nord, elected a member with another bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects another bloc ahead at 44% vote share, against 32% for another bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Julien GOKEL

Sits with Others

Current forecast

Others

Toss-up

Probability
53%
Mean margin (pts)
11.7
P(close race)
93%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 44.1%
  • Others 32.4%
  • Left (NFP) 20.1%
  • Far left 2.1%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Others Left (NFP) Far left
HereNord — 13ème circonscription 44.1%32.4%20.1%2.1%
Provincial averageNord 42.0% +2.1 3.6% +28.8 28.2% −8.1 1.5% +0.7
National averageFrance 36.0% +8.2 3.9% +28.5 29.5% −9.4 1.1% +1.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Others
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Maxence ACCART RN and allies 21,662 43.5
Julien GOKEL Elected Others 16,026 32.2
Damien LACROIX Left (NFP) 10,913 21.9
Clément BÉZINE Far left 1,175 2.4
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next