Riding profile

Pas-de-Calais — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Pas-de-Calais

The question

Pas-de-Calais — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Pas-de-Calais — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Pas-de-Calais, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 53% vote share, against 21% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Christine ENGRAND

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
31.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 53.4%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 21.5%
  • Left (NFP) 13.3%
  • LR and allies 8.2%
  • Others 2.5%
  • Far left 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HerePas-de-Calais — 6ème circonscription 53.4%21.5%13.3%8.2%
Provincial averagePas-de-Calais 53.2% +0.3 13.9% +7.6 20.8% −7.5 9.6% −1.4
National averageFrance 36.0% +17.5 20.6% +0.9 29.5% −16.2 12.2% −4.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+31.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Christine ENGRAND Elected RN and allies 32,553 50.7 —
Brigitte BOURGUIGNON Centre (Ensemble) 17,052 26.6 —
Aurore PAGEAUD Left (NFP) 9,065 14.1 —
Eric HOUDAYER LR and allies 4,495 7.0 —
Laure BOUREL Far left 703 1.1 —
Giovanni Anthony FRATTINI Others 335 0.5 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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