Riding profile

Haut-Rhin — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Haut-Rhin

The question

Haut-Rhin — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Haut-Rhin — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Haut-Rhin, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 37% vote share, against 25% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Brigitte KLINKERT

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability
78%
Mean margin (pts)
12.1
P(close race)
44%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 37.4%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.3%
  • Left (NFP) 16.9%
  • LR and allies 14.5%
  • Others 4.0%
  • Sovereignists 1.3%
  • Far left 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereHaut-Rhin — 1ère circonscription 37.4%25.3%16.9%14.5%
Provincial averageHaut-Rhin 40.8% −3.4 26.0% −0.7 17.6% −0.7 12.0% +2.4
National averageFrance 36.0% +1.4 20.6% +4.7 29.5% −12.6 12.2% +2.3

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+12.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Laurent GNAEDIG RN and allies 16,833 34.2 —
Brigitte KLINKERT Elected Centre (Ensemble) 14,945 30.4 —
Aïcha FRITSCH Left (NFP) 8,727 17.8 —
Yves HEMEDINGER LR and allies 6,547 13.3 —
Thiébault ZITVOGEL Others 1,007 2.0 —
Cyrielle COUVAL Sovereignists 591 1.2 —
Gilles SCHAFFAR Far left 341 0.7 —
Ariane BISCHOFF-BATMA RN and allies 174 0.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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