Riding profile

Haut-Rhin — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Haut-Rhin

The question

Haut-Rhin — 6ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Haut-Rhin — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Haut-Rhin, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 44% vote share, against 25% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Bruno FUCHS

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
18.8
P(close race)
2%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 44.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.3%
  • Left (NFP) 21.3%
  • Others 5.3%
  • LR and allies 1.4%
  • Sovereignists 1.2%
  • Greens 0.8%
  • Far left 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) Others
HereHaut-Rhin — 6ème circonscription 44.0%25.3%21.3%5.3%
Provincial averageHaut-Rhin 40.8% +3.2 26.0% −0.8 17.6% +3.8 5.3% −0.1
National averageFrance 36.0% +8.0 20.6% +4.7 29.5% −8.1 3.9% +1.3

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+18.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Christelle RITZ RN and allies 23,246 39.7 —
Bruno FUCHS Elected Centre (Ensemble) 17,660 30.2 —
Florence CLAUDEPIERRE Left (NFP) 12,913 22.1 —
Laurent ROTH Others 1,898 3.2 —
Pascal BLUM Greens 808 1.4 —
Denis PINT RN and allies 711 1.2 —
Romuald LOURENÇO Sovereignists 666 1.1 —
Nathalie MULOT Far left 503 0.9 —
Pablo ROLDAN-SANCHEZ LR and allies 85 0.1 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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