Riding profile
Saône-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription
The question
Saône-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Saône-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Saône-et-Loire, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 41% vote share, against 35% for the LR right, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Josiane CORNELOUP
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
LR and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 72%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.0
- P(close race)
- 55%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSaône-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription | 40.7% | 34.6% | 16.7% | 4.8% |
| Provincial averageSaône-et-Loire | 41.3% −0.6 | 18.9% +15.8 | 22.4% −5.7 | 16.5% −11.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +4.7 | 12.2% +22.4 | 29.5% −12.8 | 20.6% −15.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier DAMIEN | RN and allies | 19,738 | 37.9 | — |
| Josiane CORNELOUP Elected | LR and allies | 17,511 | 33.6 | — |
| Sébastien GAUTHERON | Left (NFP) | 9,124 | 17.5 | — |
| Raymond ZEKPA | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,094 | 9.8 | — |
| Patrick BERTHELOT | Far left | 677 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Loire — 5ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Saône-et-Loire — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Saône-et-Loire — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Allier — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Saône-et-Loire — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Rhône — 9ème circonscriptionLR and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
fr_leg_next