Riding profile
Sarthe — 1ère circonscription
The question
Sarthe — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Sarthe — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Sarthe, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 36% vote share, against 26% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Julie DELPECH
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 58%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.7
- P(close race)
- 83%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSarthe — 1ère circonscription | 36.4% | 25.7% | 24.1% | 10.3% |
| Provincial averageSarthe | 40.6% −4.2 | 24.2% +1.5 | 26.0% −1.8 | 9.9% +0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +0.5 | 20.6% +5.2 | 29.5% −5.3 | 12.2% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Céline DE COSSÉ BRISSAC | RN and allies | 16,465 | 33.6 | — |
| Julie DELPECH Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,111 | 30.8 | — |
| Ghislaine BONNET | Left (NFP) | 12,258 | 25.0 | — |
| Clément COULON | LR and allies | 4,459 | 9.1 | — |
| Sylvie MAILLET | Far left | 710 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Sarthe — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Sarthe — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Sarthe — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Orne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Mayenne — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Sarthe — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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